Fundamental review of the week from 01.03. year to 05.03.2010

The week begins with retail sales in Australia in April. The sector enjoyed solid sales in recent months as the combination of fiscal and monetary incentives "otduha 'consumer portfolios. Over the past months, signs of improving the overall consumer confidence also support retail. By continuing incentives (in the form of fiscal variations) during April, and total disappearance of the speculator market during this period we expect a new sound-percent increase in sales for the month. Later PMI index of European countries and the euro will show whether improvements in the Old Continent and may lead to new "bichi movement in favor of the euro. The main index of U.S. consumer spending for April will also be removed - the capacity and extend the recession reduced price to a point of deterioration and inflation pressure down during the next 12 months. But it is proven that this will show a little more slowly in the data, based on inflation, which has stabilized recently. Manufacturing index recovered from 28-year bottomed in 32.9 in 40.1 Dkemvri it for April, which was the lowest for the past 18 years, if the last 6 months were never happen.

On Tuesday the Swiss GDP may help to "rally" in the franc and the pair dollar / Frank down to below 1.0400, if any improvement in the Swiss economy. Mortgage loans approved in the UK 11:30 will give us a clearer picture of England and if there is resurgence in the credit sector. Pounds are expected to be extremely volatile on its main krosove. Unemployment rate of the euro is expected to increase compared to the previous period, which may slow down upward movement of the euro against the dollar, but we assume that this will be only short-term correction in favor of the state currency. Unsold U.S. homes go 17:00 on Tuesday and will reveal whether there is a chance the U.S. construction sector to show any effect.

On Wednesday morning PMI index released by the European countries and we suggest that management's confidence in the sector has improved, and if so, to support the euro in the news. Then the UK also exports its PMI index, and decrease it may weaken pounds short. U.S. ISM index afternoon - the decline in services is no longer so sharp, even refund is quite sharp. Shows continued improvement for profits, but we see that the ISM is less important for obrashtaemostta inventory and probably more frustrating than production data.

Thursday, we expect highly volatile session for the main doubles as removal of the decisions of the Central Bank interest rates in the euro area, UK and Canada then. ECB will not surprise us, and levels are expected to remain unchanged to 1.00 percent, but there is little chance for reduction of 25 basis points to 0.75 percent and if this happens will quickly lead over euro 1.5000 against the dollar. Predvaritelniet studies show that the interest of England will also remain unchanged since the British economy shows signs of improvement and the government prefers to maintain a 0.5%. Canada to suggest that because the strong Canadian dollar against major opponents.

On Friday will be removed from the CPI and the Swiss can support Frank during the morning session. Later that day Zaetostta in non-agricultural sector for the month of May and the unemployment rate (9.2 percent expected) are expected to be exported. Like most recent statistics, wages seem to be prepared to show improvement. Weekly initial jobless claims to step back slightly from recent peaks and indicators of labor market improve. But levels continue to grow and the level of unemployment nearing 10 percent. We believe that these figures reflect more on the demand in the economy and will be too slow to improve it will continue to be key challenges for households and politicians.